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Update to Lazard's v16, minor additional fixes #117

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Dec 29, 2023
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Update to Lazard's v16, minor additional fixes #117

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f15c759
Move to manuaLinput: nuclear, coal, lignite, gas fuel
euronion Dec 14, 2023
ceba471
Correct fuel costs currency years
euronion Dec 14, 2023
e5f6d84
Update release_notes.rst
euronion Dec 14, 2023
4c9c71b
Regenerate output files
euronion Dec 14, 2023
c9a6af8
Merge branch 'master' into tech/lazardsv16
fneum Dec 29, 2023
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6 changes: 6 additions & 0 deletions docs/release_notes.rst
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Expand Up @@ -17,6 +17,12 @@ Upcoming Release

* Added FOM for enhanced geothermal systems.

* Costs for 'fuel' provided in the manual_inputs.csv are now also adjusted for inflation.

* Updated cost assumptions for 'nuclear', 'coal', and 'lignite' to Lazard's LCoE V16 (2023).

* Updated source for 'fuel' costs of 'gas', 'uranium', 'coal', and 'lignite' to DIW (2013) data.

Technology-Data 0.6.2 (7 August 2023)
=====================================

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21 changes: 0 additions & 21 deletions inputs/costs_PyPSA.csv
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -9,10 +9,7 @@ PHS,2030,lifetime,80,years,IEA2010
hydro,2030,lifetime,80,years,IEA2010
ror,2030,lifetime,80,years,IEA2010
OCGT,2030,lifetime,30,years,IEA2010
nuclear,2030,lifetime,45,years,ECF2010 in DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
CCGT,2030,lifetime,30,years,IEA2010
coal,2030,lifetime,40,years,IEA2010
lignite,2030,lifetime,40,years,IEA2010
geothermal,2030,lifetime,40,years,IEA2010
biomass,2030,lifetime,30,years,ECF2010 in DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
oil,2030,lifetime,30,years,ECF2010 in DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
Expand All @@ -21,15 +18,12 @@ offwind,2030,investment,2506,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80
solar,2030,investment,600,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
biomass,2030,investment,2209,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
geothermal,2030,investment,3392,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
coal,2030,investment,1300,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC)
lignite,2030,investment,1500,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
solar-rooftop,2030,investment,725,EUR/kWel,ETIP PV
solar-utility,2030,investment,425,EUR/kWel,ETIP PV
PHS,2030,investment,2000,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
hydro,2030,investment,2000,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
ror,2030,investment,3000,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
OCGT,2030,investment,400,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
nuclear,2030,investment,6000,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
CCGT,2030,investment,800,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
oil,2030,investment,400,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
onwind,2030,FOM,2.961083,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
Expand All @@ -39,8 +33,6 @@ solar-rooftop,2030,FOM,2,%/year,ETIP PV
solar-utility,2030,FOM,3,%/year,ETIP PV
biomass,2030,FOM,4.526935,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
geothermal,2030,FOM,2.358491,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
coal,2030,FOM,1.923076,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC)
lignite,2030,FOM,2.0,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC)
oil,2030,FOM,1.5,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
PHS,2030,FOM,1,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
hydro,2030,FOM,1,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
Expand All @@ -50,18 +42,10 @@ OCGT,2030,FOM,3.75,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
onwind,2030,VOM,0.015,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order
offwind,2030,VOM,0.02,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order
solar,2030,VOM,0.01,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order
coal,2030,VOM,6,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC)
lignite,2030,VOM,7,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
CCGT,2030,VOM,4,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
OCGT,2030,VOM,3,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
nuclear,2030,VOM,8,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
gas,2030,fuel,21.6,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b
uranium,2030,fuel,3,EUR/MWhth,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
oil,2030,VOM,3,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
nuclear,2030,fuel,3,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b
biomass,2030,fuel,7,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b
coal,2030,fuel,8.4,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b
lignite,2030,fuel,2.9,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b
biogas,2030,fuel,59,EUR/MWhth,JRC and Zappa
solid biomass,2030,fuel,25.2,EUR/MWhth,JRC and Zappa
oil,2030,fuel,50,EUR/MWhth,IEA WEM2017 97USD/boe = http://www.iea.org/media/weowebsite/2017/WEM_Documentation_WEO2017.pdf
Expand All @@ -72,13 +56,8 @@ OCGT,2030,efficiency,0.39,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
CCGT,2030,efficiency,0.5,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
biomass,2030,efficiency,0.468,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
geothermal,2030,efficiency,0.239,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
nuclear,2030,efficiency,0.337,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
gas,2030,CO2 intensity,0.187,tCO2/MWhth,https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php
coal,2030,efficiency,0.464,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC)
lignite,2030,efficiency,0.447,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348
oil,2030,efficiency,0.393,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 CT
coal,2030,CO2 intensity,0.354,tCO2/MWhth,https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php
lignite,2030,CO2 intensity,0.4,tCO2/MWhth,German sources
oil,2030,CO2 intensity,0.248,tCO2/MWhth,https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php
geothermal,2030,CO2 intensity,0.026,tCO2/MWhth,https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php
solid biomass,2030,CO2 intensity,0.3,tCO2/MWhth,TODO
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22 changes: 21 additions & 1 deletion inputs/manual_input.csv
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Expand Up @@ -311,4 +311,24 @@ offwind-float,investment,2050,1580,EUR/kWel,2020,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adape
offwind-float,FOM,2050,1.39,%/year,2020,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adapen.2021.100067,
offwind-float-station,investment,2030,400,EUR/kWel,2017,Haertel 2017; assuming one onshore and one offshore node + 13% learning reduction,
offwind-float-connection-submarine,investment,2030,2000,EUR/MW/km,2014,DTU report based on Fig 34 of https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/2014_nsog_report.pdf,
offwind-float-connection-underground,investment,2030,1000,EUR/MW/km,2017,Haertel 2017; average + 13% learning reduction,
offwind-float-connection-underground,investment,2030,1000,EUR/MW/km,2017,Haertel 2017; average + 13% learning reduction,
nuclear,investment,2020,10275,EUR/kW_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (8475+13925)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ."
nuclear,FOM,2020,1.27,%/year,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (131.5+152.75)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) relative to investment costs."
nuclear,VOM,2020,4.24,EUR/MWh_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (4.25+5)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ."
nuclear,lifetime,2020,40,years,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.",
nuclear,efficiency,2020,0.326,p.u.,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on heat rate of 10.45 MMBtu/MWh_e and 3.4095 MMBtu/MWh_th, i.e. 1/(10.45/3.4095) = 0.3260."
nuclear,fuel,2020,3,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data.
uranium,fuel,2020,3,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data.
coal,investment,2020,4575.69,EUR/kW_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)."
coal,FOM,2020,1.31,%/year,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100."
coal,VOM,2020,3.89908256880734,EUR/MWh_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)."
coal,lifetime,2020,40,years,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.",
coal,efficiency,2020,0.33,p.u.,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up."
coal,fuel,2020,8.4,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 99 USD/t."
lignite,investment,2020,4575.69,EUR/kW_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf ."
lignite,FOM,2020,1.31,%/year,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . "
lignite,VOM,2020,3.89908256880734,EUR/MWh_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . "
lignite,lifetime,2020,40,years,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . "
lignite,efficiency,2020,0.33,p.u.,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . "
lignite,fuel,2020,2.9,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t."
gas,fuel,2020,21.6,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data.
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