diff --git a/docs/release_notes.rst b/docs/release_notes.rst index 428e1ae..efb09be 100644 --- a/docs/release_notes.rst +++ b/docs/release_notes.rst @@ -17,6 +17,12 @@ Upcoming Release * Added FOM for enhanced geothermal systems. +* Costs for 'fuel' provided in the manual_inputs.csv are now also adjusted for inflation. + +* Updated cost assumptions for 'nuclear', 'coal', and 'lignite' to Lazard's LCoE V16 (2023). + +* Updated source for 'fuel' costs of 'gas', 'uranium', 'coal', and 'lignite' to DIW (2013) data. + * Updated hydrogen pipeline costs based on most recent `EHB report `_. Technology-Data 0.6.2 (7 August 2023) diff --git a/inputs/costs_PyPSA.csv b/inputs/costs_PyPSA.csv index 167514a..4063505 100644 --- a/inputs/costs_PyPSA.csv +++ b/inputs/costs_PyPSA.csv @@ -9,10 +9,7 @@ PHS,2030,lifetime,80,years,IEA2010 hydro,2030,lifetime,80,years,IEA2010 ror,2030,lifetime,80,years,IEA2010 OCGT,2030,lifetime,30,years,IEA2010 -nuclear,2030,lifetime,45,years,ECF2010 in DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 CCGT,2030,lifetime,30,years,IEA2010 -coal,2030,lifetime,40,years,IEA2010 -lignite,2030,lifetime,40,years,IEA2010 geothermal,2030,lifetime,40,years,IEA2010 biomass,2030,lifetime,30,years,ECF2010 in DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 oil,2030,lifetime,30,years,ECF2010 in DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 @@ -21,15 +18,12 @@ offwind,2030,investment,2506,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80 solar,2030,investment,600,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 biomass,2030,investment,2209,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 geothermal,2030,investment,3392,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 -coal,2030,investment,1300,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC) -lignite,2030,investment,1500,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 solar-rooftop,2030,investment,725,EUR/kWel,ETIP PV solar-utility,2030,investment,425,EUR/kWel,ETIP PV PHS,2030,investment,2000,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 hydro,2030,investment,2000,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 ror,2030,investment,3000,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 OCGT,2030,investment,400,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 -nuclear,2030,investment,6000,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 CCGT,2030,investment,800,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 oil,2030,investment,400,EUR/kWel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 onwind,2030,FOM,2.961083,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 @@ -39,8 +33,6 @@ solar-rooftop,2030,FOM,2,%/year,ETIP PV solar-utility,2030,FOM,3,%/year,ETIP PV biomass,2030,FOM,4.526935,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 geothermal,2030,FOM,2.358491,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 -coal,2030,FOM,1.923076,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC) -lignite,2030,FOM,2.0,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC) oil,2030,FOM,1.5,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PHS,2030,FOM,1,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 hydro,2030,FOM,1,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 @@ -50,18 +42,10 @@ OCGT,2030,FOM,3.75,%/year,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 onwind,2030,VOM,0.015,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order offwind,2030,VOM,0.02,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order solar,2030,VOM,0.01,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order -coal,2030,VOM,6,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC) -lignite,2030,VOM,7,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 CCGT,2030,VOM,4,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 OCGT,2030,VOM,3,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 -nuclear,2030,VOM,8,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 -gas,2030,fuel,21.6,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b -uranium,2030,fuel,3,EUR/MWhth,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 oil,2030,VOM,3,EUR/MWhel,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 -nuclear,2030,fuel,3,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b biomass,2030,fuel,7,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b -coal,2030,fuel,8.4,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b -lignite,2030,fuel,2.9,EUR/MWhth,IEA2011b biogas,2030,fuel,59,EUR/MWhth,JRC and Zappa solid biomass,2030,fuel,25.2,EUR/MWhth,JRC and Zappa oil,2030,fuel,50,EUR/MWhth,IEA WEM2017 97USD/boe = http://www.iea.org/media/weowebsite/2017/WEM_Documentation_WEO2017.pdf @@ -72,13 +56,8 @@ OCGT,2030,efficiency,0.39,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 CCGT,2030,efficiency,0.5,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 biomass,2030,efficiency,0.468,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 geothermal,2030,efficiency,0.239,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 -nuclear,2030,efficiency,0.337,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 gas,2030,CO2 intensity,0.187,tCO2/MWhth,https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php -coal,2030,efficiency,0.464,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 PC (Advanced/SuperC) -lignite,2030,efficiency,0.447,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 oil,2030,efficiency,0.393,per unit,DIW DataDoc http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 CT -coal,2030,CO2 intensity,0.354,tCO2/MWhth,https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php -lignite,2030,CO2 intensity,0.4,tCO2/MWhth,German sources oil,2030,CO2 intensity,0.248,tCO2/MWhth,https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php geothermal,2030,CO2 intensity,0.026,tCO2/MWhth,https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php solid biomass,2030,CO2 intensity,0.3,tCO2/MWhth,TODO diff --git a/inputs/manual_input.csv b/inputs/manual_input.csv index 8e38948..50b30f1 100644 --- a/inputs/manual_input.csv +++ b/inputs/manual_input.csv @@ -317,4 +317,24 @@ offwind-float,investment,2050,1580,EUR/kWel,2020,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adape offwind-float,FOM,2050,1.39,%/year,2020,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adapen.2021.100067, offwind-float-station,investment,2030,400,EUR/kWel,2017,Haertel 2017; assuming one onshore and one offshore node + 13% learning reduction, offwind-float-connection-submarine,investment,2030,2000,EUR/MW/km,2014,DTU report based on Fig 34 of https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/2014_nsog_report.pdf, -offwind-float-connection-underground,investment,2030,1000,EUR/MW/km,2017,Haertel 2017; average + 13% learning reduction, \ No newline at end of file +offwind-float-connection-underground,investment,2030,1000,EUR/MW/km,2017,Haertel 2017; average + 13% learning reduction, +nuclear,investment,2020,10275,EUR/kW_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (8475+13925)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,FOM,2020,1.27,%/year,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (131.5+152.75)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) relative to investment costs." +nuclear,VOM,2020,4.24,EUR/MWh_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (4.25+5)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,lifetime,2020,40,years,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", +nuclear,efficiency,2020,0.326,p.u.,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on heat rate of 10.45 MMBtu/MWh_e and 3.4095 MMBtu/MWh_th, i.e. 1/(10.45/3.4095) = 0.3260." +nuclear,fuel,2020,3,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. +uranium,fuel,2020,3,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. +coal,investment,2020,4575.69,EUR/kW_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,FOM,2020,1.31,%/year,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100." +coal,VOM,2020,3.89908256880734,EUR/MWh_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,lifetime,2020,40,years,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", +coal,efficiency,2020,0.33,p.u.,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up." +coal,fuel,2020,8.4,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 99 USD/t." +lignite,investment,2020,4575.69,EUR/kW_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf ." +lignite,FOM,2020,1.31,%/year,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,VOM,2020,3.89908256880734,EUR/MWh_e,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,lifetime,2020,40,years,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,efficiency,2020,0.33,p.u.,2023,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,fuel,2020,2.9,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t." +gas,fuel,2020,21.6,EUR/MWh_th,2010,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. diff --git a/outputs/costs_2020.csv b/outputs/costs_2020.csv index 73af692..884f75e 100644 --- a/outputs/costs_2020.csv +++ b/outputs/costs_2020.csv @@ -584,12 +584,12 @@ clean water tank storage,FOM,2.0,%/year,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawa clean water tank storage,investment,67.626,EUR/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", clean water tank storage,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", coal,CO2 intensity,0.3361,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -coal,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,fuel,8.15,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, -coal,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +coal,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100." +coal,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up." +coal,fuel,9.2743,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 99 USD/t." +coal,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", csp-tower,FOM,1.0,%/year,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),Ratio between CAPEX and FOM from ATB database for “moderate” scenario. csp-tower,investment,144.8807,"EUR/kW_th,dp",ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power) and NREL SAM v2021.12.2 (https://sam.nrel.gov/).,"Based on NREL’s SAM (v2021.12.2) numbers for a CSP power plant, 2020 numbers. CAPEX degression (=learning) taken from ATB database (“moderate”) scenario. Costs include solar field and solar tower as well as EPC cost for the default installation size (104 MWe plant). Total costs (223,708,924 USD) are divided by active area (heliostat reflective area, 1,269,054 m2) and multiplied by design point DNI (0.95 kW/m2) to obtain EUR/kW_th. Exchange rate: 1.16 USD to 1 EUR." csp-tower,lifetime,30.0,years,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),- @@ -722,7 +722,7 @@ fuel cell,efficiency,0.5,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_ fuel cell,investment,1300.0,EUR/kW_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Nominal investment fuel cell,lifetime,10.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Technical lifetime gas,CO2 intensity,0.198,tCO2/MWh_th,Stoichiometric calculation with 50 GJ/t CH4, -gas,fuel,20.1,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, +gas,fuel,23.8481,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. gas boiler steam,FOM,3.6667,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Fixed O&M gas boiler steam,VOM,1.1,EUR/MWh,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Variable O&M gas boiler steam,efficiency,0.92,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx","311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Total efficiency, net, annual average" @@ -780,12 +780,12 @@ industrial heat pump medium temperature,investment,871.2,EUR/kW,"Danish Energy A industrial heat pump medium temperature,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",302.a High temp. hp Up to 125 C: Technical lifetime iron ore DRI-ready,commodity,97.73,EUR/t,"Model assumptions from MPP Steel Transition Tool: https://missionpossiblepartnership.org/action-sectors/steel/, accessed: 2022-12-03.","DRI ready assumes 65% iron content, requiring no additional benefication." lignite,CO2 intensity,0.4069,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -lignite,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,fuel,2.9,EUR/MWh_th,DIW, -lignite,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +lignite,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,fuel,3.2018,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t." +lignite,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf ." +lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.2.3.1", methanation,carbondioxide-input,0.198,t_CO2/MWh_CH4,"Götz et al. (2016): Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066), Fig. 11 .",Additional H2 required for methanation process (2x H2 amount compared to stochiometric conversion). methanation,efficiency,0.8,per unit,Palzer and Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions @@ -819,12 +819,12 @@ micro CHP,efficiency,0.351,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_hea micro CHP,efficiency-heat,0.599,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Heat efficiency, annual average, net" micro CHP,investment,10045.3136,EUR/kW_th,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Specific investment micro CHP,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Technical lifetime -nuclear,FOM,1.4,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,investment,7940.4514,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +nuclear,FOM,1.27,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (131.5+152.75)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) relative to investment costs." +nuclear,VOM,3.6188,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (4.25+5)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,efficiency,0.326,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on heat rate of 10.45 MMBtu/MWh_e and 3.4095 MMBtu/MWh_th, i.e. 1/(10.45/3.4095) = 0.3260." +nuclear,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. +nuclear,investment,8769.6136,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (8475+13925)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", offwind,FOM,2.5093,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Fixed O&M [EUR/MW_e/y, 2020]" offwind,VOM,0.02,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions offwind,investment,1804.7687,"EUR/kW_e, 2020","Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Nominal investment [MEUR/MW_e, 2020] grid connection costs substracted from investment costs" @@ -862,7 +862,7 @@ seawater desalination,electricity-input,3.0348,kWh/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: seawater desalination,investment,40219.7802,EUR/(m^3-H2O/h),"Caldera et al 2017: Learning Curve for Seawater Reverse Osmosis Desalination Plants: Capital Cost Trend of the Past, Present, and Future (https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021402), Table 4.", seawater desalination,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", shipping fuel methanol,CO2 intensity,0.2482,tCO2/MWh_th,-,Based on stochiometric composition. -shipping fuel methanol,fuel,72.0,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). +shipping fuel methanol,fuel,65.2126,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). solar,FOM,1.578,%/year,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' solar,VOM,0.01,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions solar,investment,733.4715,EUR/kW_e,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' @@ -899,7 +899,7 @@ solid biomass to hydrogen,FOM,4.25,%/year,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NO solid biomass to hydrogen,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006, solid biomass to hydrogen,efficiency,0.56,per unit,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", solid biomass to hydrogen,investment,4000.0,EUR/kW_th,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", -uranium,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +uranium,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. waste CHP,FOM,2.4016,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Fixed O&M" waste CHP,VOM,27.2767,EUR/MWh_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Variable O&M " waste CHP,c_b,0.2826,50°C/100°C,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Cb coefficient" diff --git a/outputs/costs_2025.csv b/outputs/costs_2025.csv index 3342624..faee674 100644 --- a/outputs/costs_2025.csv +++ b/outputs/costs_2025.csv @@ -584,12 +584,12 @@ clean water tank storage,FOM,2.0,%/year,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawa clean water tank storage,investment,67.626,EUR/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", clean water tank storage,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", coal,CO2 intensity,0.3361,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -coal,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,fuel,8.15,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, -coal,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +coal,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100." +coal,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up." +coal,fuel,9.2743,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 99 USD/t." +coal,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", csp-tower,FOM,1.05,%/year,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),Ratio between CAPEX and FOM from ATB database for “moderate” scenario. csp-tower,investment,121.5174,"EUR/kW_th,dp",ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power) and NREL SAM v2021.12.2 (https://sam.nrel.gov/).,"Based on NREL’s SAM (v2021.12.2) numbers for a CSP power plant, 2020 numbers. CAPEX degression (=learning) taken from ATB database (“moderate”) scenario. Costs include solar field and solar tower as well as EPC cost for the default installation size (104 MWe plant). Total costs (223,708,924 USD) are divided by active area (heliostat reflective area, 1,269,054 m2) and multiplied by design point DNI (0.95 kW/m2) to obtain EUR/kW_th. Exchange rate: 1.16 USD to 1 EUR." csp-tower,lifetime,30.0,years,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),- @@ -722,7 +722,7 @@ fuel cell,efficiency,0.5,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_ fuel cell,investment,1200.0,EUR/kW_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Nominal investment fuel cell,lifetime,10.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Technical lifetime gas,CO2 intensity,0.198,tCO2/MWh_th,Stoichiometric calculation with 50 GJ/t CH4, -gas,fuel,20.1,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, +gas,fuel,23.8481,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. gas boiler steam,FOM,3.9,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Fixed O&M gas boiler steam,VOM,1.05,EUR/MWh,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Variable O&M gas boiler steam,efficiency,0.925,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx","311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Total efficiency, net, annual average" @@ -780,12 +780,12 @@ industrial heat pump medium temperature,investment,825.0,EUR/kW,"Danish Energy A industrial heat pump medium temperature,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",302.a High temp. hp Up to 125 C: Technical lifetime iron ore DRI-ready,commodity,97.73,EUR/t,"Model assumptions from MPP Steel Transition Tool: https://missionpossiblepartnership.org/action-sectors/steel/, accessed: 2022-12-03.","DRI ready assumes 65% iron content, requiring no additional benefication." lignite,CO2 intensity,0.4069,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -lignite,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,fuel,2.9,EUR/MWh_th,DIW, -lignite,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +lignite,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,fuel,3.2018,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t." +lignite,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf ." +lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.2.3.1", methanation,carbondioxide-input,0.198,t_CO2/MWh_CH4,"Götz et al. (2016): Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066), Fig. 11 .",Additional H2 required for methanation process (2x H2 amount compared to stochiometric conversion). methanation,efficiency,0.8,per unit,Palzer and Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions @@ -819,12 +819,12 @@ micro CHP,efficiency,0.351,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_hea micro CHP,efficiency-heat,0.604,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Heat efficiency, annual average, net" micro CHP,investment,8716.8874,EUR/kW_th,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Specific investment micro CHP,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Technical lifetime -nuclear,FOM,1.4,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,investment,7940.4514,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +nuclear,FOM,1.27,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (131.5+152.75)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) relative to investment costs." +nuclear,VOM,3.6188,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (4.25+5)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,efficiency,0.326,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on heat rate of 10.45 MMBtu/MWh_e and 3.4095 MMBtu/MWh_th, i.e. 1/(10.45/3.4095) = 0.3260." +nuclear,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. +nuclear,investment,8769.6136,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (8475+13925)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", offwind,FOM,2.3741,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Fixed O&M [EUR/MW_e/y, 2020]" offwind,VOM,0.02,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions offwind,investment,1602.3439,"EUR/kW_e, 2020","Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Nominal investment [MEUR/MW_e, 2020] grid connection costs substracted from investment costs" @@ -862,7 +862,7 @@ seawater desalination,electricity-input,3.0348,kWh/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: seawater desalination,investment,36907.6923,EUR/(m^3-H2O/h),"Caldera et al 2017: Learning Curve for Seawater Reverse Osmosis Desalination Plants: Capital Cost Trend of the Past, Present, and Future (https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021402), Table 4.", seawater desalination,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", shipping fuel methanol,CO2 intensity,0.2482,tCO2/MWh_th,-,Based on stochiometric composition. -shipping fuel methanol,fuel,72.0,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). +shipping fuel methanol,fuel,65.2126,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). solar,FOM,1.7275,%/year,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' solar,VOM,0.01,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions solar,investment,612.7906,EUR/kW_e,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' @@ -899,7 +899,7 @@ solid biomass to hydrogen,FOM,4.25,%/year,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NO solid biomass to hydrogen,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006, solid biomass to hydrogen,efficiency,0.56,per unit,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", solid biomass to hydrogen,investment,3750.0,EUR/kW_th,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", -uranium,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +uranium,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. waste CHP,FOM,2.3789,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Fixed O&M" waste CHP,VOM,26.8983,EUR/MWh_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Variable O&M " waste CHP,c_b,0.2872,50°C/100°C,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Cb coefficient" diff --git a/outputs/costs_2030.csv b/outputs/costs_2030.csv index ba3bb82..96b38fc 100644 --- a/outputs/costs_2030.csv +++ b/outputs/costs_2030.csv @@ -584,12 +584,12 @@ clean water tank storage,FOM,2.0,%/year,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawa clean water tank storage,investment,67.626,EUR/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", clean water tank storage,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", coal,CO2 intensity,0.3361,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -coal,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,fuel,8.15,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, -coal,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +coal,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100." +coal,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up." +coal,fuel,9.2743,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 99 USD/t." +coal,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", csp-tower,FOM,1.1,%/year,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),Ratio between CAPEX and FOM from ATB database for “moderate” scenario. csp-tower,investment,98.154,"EUR/kW_th,dp",ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power) and NREL SAM v2021.12.2 (https://sam.nrel.gov/).,"Based on NREL’s SAM (v2021.12.2) numbers for a CSP power plant, 2020 numbers. CAPEX degression (=learning) taken from ATB database (“moderate”) scenario. Costs include solar field and solar tower as well as EPC cost for the default installation size (104 MWe plant). Total costs (223,708,924 USD) are divided by active area (heliostat reflective area, 1,269,054 m2) and multiplied by design point DNI (0.95 kW/m2) to obtain EUR/kW_th. Exchange rate: 1.16 USD to 1 EUR." csp-tower,lifetime,30.0,years,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),- @@ -722,7 +722,7 @@ fuel cell,efficiency,0.5,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_ fuel cell,investment,1100.0,EUR/kW_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Nominal investment fuel cell,lifetime,10.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Technical lifetime gas,CO2 intensity,0.198,tCO2/MWh_th,Stoichiometric calculation with 50 GJ/t CH4, -gas,fuel,20.1,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, +gas,fuel,23.8481,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. gas boiler steam,FOM,4.18,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Fixed O&M gas boiler steam,VOM,1.0,EUR/MWh,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Variable O&M gas boiler steam,efficiency,0.93,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx","311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Total efficiency, net, annual average" @@ -780,12 +780,12 @@ industrial heat pump medium temperature,investment,778.8,EUR/kW,"Danish Energy A industrial heat pump medium temperature,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",302.a High temp. hp Up to 125 C: Technical lifetime iron ore DRI-ready,commodity,97.73,EUR/t,"Model assumptions from MPP Steel Transition Tool: https://missionpossiblepartnership.org/action-sectors/steel/, accessed: 2022-12-03.","DRI ready assumes 65% iron content, requiring no additional benefication." lignite,CO2 intensity,0.4069,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -lignite,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,fuel,2.9,EUR/MWh_th,DIW, -lignite,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +lignite,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,fuel,3.2018,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t." +lignite,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf ." +lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.2.3.1", methanation,carbondioxide-input,0.198,t_CO2/MWh_CH4,"Götz et al. (2016): Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066), Fig. 11 .",Additional H2 required for methanation process (2x H2 amount compared to stochiometric conversion). methanation,efficiency,0.8,per unit,Palzer and Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions @@ -819,12 +819,12 @@ micro CHP,efficiency,0.351,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_hea micro CHP,efficiency-heat,0.609,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Heat efficiency, annual average, net" micro CHP,investment,7410.2745,EUR/kW_th,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Specific investment micro CHP,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Technical lifetime -nuclear,FOM,1.4,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,investment,7940.4514,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +nuclear,FOM,1.27,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (131.5+152.75)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) relative to investment costs." +nuclear,VOM,3.6188,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (4.25+5)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,efficiency,0.326,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on heat rate of 10.45 MMBtu/MWh_e and 3.4095 MMBtu/MWh_th, i.e. 1/(10.45/3.4095) = 0.3260." +nuclear,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. +nuclear,investment,8769.6136,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (8475+13925)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", offwind,FOM,2.3185,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Fixed O&M [EUR/MW_e/y, 2020]" offwind,VOM,0.02,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions offwind,investment,1523.5503,"EUR/kW_e, 2020","Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Nominal investment [MEUR/MW_e, 2020] grid connection costs substracted from investment costs" @@ -862,7 +862,7 @@ seawater desalination,electricity-input,3.0348,kWh/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: seawater desalination,investment,32882.0513,EUR/(m^3-H2O/h),"Caldera et al 2017: Learning Curve for Seawater Reverse Osmosis Desalination Plants: Capital Cost Trend of the Past, Present, and Future (https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021402), Table 4.", seawater desalination,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", shipping fuel methanol,CO2 intensity,0.2482,tCO2/MWh_th,-,Based on stochiometric composition. -shipping fuel methanol,fuel,72.0,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). +shipping fuel methanol,fuel,65.2126,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). solar,FOM,1.9495,%/year,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' solar,VOM,0.01,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions solar,investment,492.1097,EUR/kW_e,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' @@ -899,7 +899,7 @@ solid biomass to hydrogen,FOM,4.25,%/year,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NO solid biomass to hydrogen,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006, solid biomass to hydrogen,efficiency,0.56,per unit,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", solid biomass to hydrogen,investment,3500.0,EUR/kW_th,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", -uranium,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +uranium,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. waste CHP,FOM,2.355,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Fixed O&M" waste CHP,VOM,26.5199,EUR/MWh_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Variable O&M " waste CHP,c_b,0.2918,50°C/100°C,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Cb coefficient" diff --git a/outputs/costs_2035.csv b/outputs/costs_2035.csv index a33a914..451ffee 100644 --- a/outputs/costs_2035.csv +++ b/outputs/costs_2035.csv @@ -584,12 +584,12 @@ clean water tank storage,FOM,2.0,%/year,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawa clean water tank storage,investment,67.626,EUR/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", clean water tank storage,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", coal,CO2 intensity,0.3361,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -coal,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,fuel,8.15,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, -coal,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +coal,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100." +coal,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up." +coal,fuel,9.2743,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 99 USD/t." +coal,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", csp-tower,FOM,1.2,%/year,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),Ratio between CAPEX and FOM from ATB database for “moderate” scenario. csp-tower,investment,94.35,"EUR/kW_th,dp",ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power) and NREL SAM v2021.12.2 (https://sam.nrel.gov/).,"Based on NREL’s SAM (v2021.12.2) numbers for a CSP power plant, 2020 numbers. CAPEX degression (=learning) taken from ATB database (“moderate”) scenario. Costs include solar field and solar tower as well as EPC cost for the default installation size (104 MWe plant). Total costs (223,708,924 USD) are divided by active area (heliostat reflective area, 1,269,054 m2) and multiplied by design point DNI (0.95 kW/m2) to obtain EUR/kW_th. Exchange rate: 1.16 USD to 1 EUR." csp-tower,lifetime,30.0,years,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),- @@ -722,7 +722,7 @@ fuel cell,efficiency,0.5,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_ fuel cell,investment,1025.0,EUR/kW_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Nominal investment fuel cell,lifetime,10.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Technical lifetime gas,CO2 intensity,0.198,tCO2/MWh_th,Stoichiometric calculation with 50 GJ/t CH4, -gas,fuel,20.1,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, +gas,fuel,23.8481,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. gas boiler steam,FOM,4.07,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Fixed O&M gas boiler steam,VOM,1.0,EUR/MWh,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Variable O&M gas boiler steam,efficiency,0.93,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx","311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Total efficiency, net, annual average" @@ -780,12 +780,12 @@ industrial heat pump medium temperature,investment,754.4,EUR/kW,"Danish Energy A industrial heat pump medium temperature,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",302.a High temp. hp Up to 125 C: Technical lifetime iron ore DRI-ready,commodity,97.73,EUR/t,"Model assumptions from MPP Steel Transition Tool: https://missionpossiblepartnership.org/action-sectors/steel/, accessed: 2022-12-03.","DRI ready assumes 65% iron content, requiring no additional benefication." lignite,CO2 intensity,0.4069,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -lignite,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,fuel,2.9,EUR/MWh_th,DIW, -lignite,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +lignite,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,fuel,3.2018,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t." +lignite,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf ." +lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.2.3.1", methanation,carbondioxide-input,0.198,t_CO2/MWh_CH4,"Götz et al. (2016): Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066), Fig. 11 .",Additional H2 required for methanation process (2x H2 amount compared to stochiometric conversion). methanation,efficiency,0.8,per unit,Palzer and Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions @@ -819,12 +819,12 @@ micro CHP,efficiency,0.351,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_hea micro CHP,efficiency-heat,0.609,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Heat efficiency, annual average, net" micro CHP,investment,6998.5925,EUR/kW_th,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Specific investment micro CHP,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Technical lifetime -nuclear,FOM,1.4,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,investment,7940.4514,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +nuclear,FOM,1.27,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (131.5+152.75)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) relative to investment costs." +nuclear,VOM,3.6188,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (4.25+5)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,efficiency,0.326,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on heat rate of 10.45 MMBtu/MWh_e and 3.4095 MMBtu/MWh_th, i.e. 1/(10.45/3.4095) = 0.3260." +nuclear,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. +nuclear,investment,8769.6136,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (8475+13925)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", offwind,FOM,2.25,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Fixed O&M [EUR/MW_e/y, 2020]" offwind,VOM,0.02,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions offwind,investment,1469.3167,"EUR/kW_e, 2020","Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Nominal investment [MEUR/MW_e, 2020] grid connection costs substracted from investment costs" @@ -862,7 +862,7 @@ seawater desalination,electricity-input,3.0348,kWh/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: seawater desalination,investment,29589.7436,EUR/(m^3-H2O/h),"Caldera et al 2017: Learning Curve for Seawater Reverse Osmosis Desalination Plants: Capital Cost Trend of the Past, Present, and Future (https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021402), Table 4.", seawater desalination,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", shipping fuel methanol,CO2 intensity,0.2482,tCO2/MWh_th,-,Based on stochiometric composition. -shipping fuel methanol,fuel,72.0,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). +shipping fuel methanol,fuel,65.2126,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). solar,FOM,1.9904,%/year,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' solar,VOM,0.01,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions solar,investment,449.9901,EUR/kW_e,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' @@ -899,7 +899,7 @@ solid biomass to hydrogen,FOM,4.25,%/year,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NO solid biomass to hydrogen,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006, solid biomass to hydrogen,efficiency,0.56,per unit,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", solid biomass to hydrogen,investment,3250.0,EUR/kW_th,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", -uranium,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +uranium,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. waste CHP,FOM,2.3408,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Fixed O&M" waste CHP,VOM,26.2744,EUR/MWh_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Variable O&M " waste CHP,c_b,0.2947,50°C/100°C,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Cb coefficient" diff --git a/outputs/costs_2040.csv b/outputs/costs_2040.csv index a84ec1c..138e0df 100644 --- a/outputs/costs_2040.csv +++ b/outputs/costs_2040.csv @@ -584,12 +584,12 @@ clean water tank storage,FOM,2.0,%/year,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawa clean water tank storage,investment,67.626,EUR/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", clean water tank storage,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", coal,CO2 intensity,0.3361,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -coal,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,fuel,8.15,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, -coal,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +coal,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100." +coal,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up." +coal,fuel,9.2743,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 99 USD/t." +coal,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", csp-tower,FOM,1.3,%/year,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),Ratio between CAPEX and FOM from ATB database for “moderate” scenario. csp-tower,investment,90.5459,"EUR/kW_th,dp",ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power) and NREL SAM v2021.12.2 (https://sam.nrel.gov/).,"Based on NREL’s SAM (v2021.12.2) numbers for a CSP power plant, 2020 numbers. CAPEX degression (=learning) taken from ATB database (“moderate”) scenario. Costs include solar field and solar tower as well as EPC cost for the default installation size (104 MWe plant). Total costs (223,708,924 USD) are divided by active area (heliostat reflective area, 1,269,054 m2) and multiplied by design point DNI (0.95 kW/m2) to obtain EUR/kW_th. Exchange rate: 1.16 USD to 1 EUR." csp-tower,lifetime,30.0,years,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),- @@ -722,7 +722,7 @@ fuel cell,efficiency,0.5,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_ fuel cell,investment,950.0,EUR/kW_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Nominal investment fuel cell,lifetime,10.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Technical lifetime gas,CO2 intensity,0.198,tCO2/MWh_th,Stoichiometric calculation with 50 GJ/t CH4, -gas,fuel,20.1,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, +gas,fuel,23.8481,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. gas boiler steam,FOM,3.96,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Fixed O&M gas boiler steam,VOM,1.0,EUR/MWh,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Variable O&M gas boiler steam,efficiency,0.93,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx","311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Total efficiency, net, annual average" @@ -780,12 +780,12 @@ industrial heat pump medium temperature,investment,730.0,EUR/kW,"Danish Energy A industrial heat pump medium temperature,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",302.a High temp. hp Up to 125 C: Technical lifetime iron ore DRI-ready,commodity,97.73,EUR/t,"Model assumptions from MPP Steel Transition Tool: https://missionpossiblepartnership.org/action-sectors/steel/, accessed: 2022-12-03.","DRI ready assumes 65% iron content, requiring no additional benefication." lignite,CO2 intensity,0.4069,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -lignite,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,fuel,2.9,EUR/MWh_th,DIW, -lignite,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +lignite,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,fuel,3.2018,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t." +lignite,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf ." +lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.2.3.1", methanation,carbondioxide-input,0.198,t_CO2/MWh_CH4,"Götz et al. (2016): Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066), Fig. 11 .",Additional H2 required for methanation process (2x H2 amount compared to stochiometric conversion). methanation,efficiency,0.8,per unit,Palzer and Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions @@ -819,12 +819,12 @@ micro CHP,efficiency,0.351,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_hea micro CHP,efficiency-heat,0.609,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Heat efficiency, annual average, net" micro CHP,investment,6586.9106,EUR/kW_th,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Specific investment micro CHP,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Technical lifetime -nuclear,FOM,1.4,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,investment,7940.4514,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +nuclear,FOM,1.27,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (131.5+152.75)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) relative to investment costs." +nuclear,VOM,3.6188,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (4.25+5)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,efficiency,0.326,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on heat rate of 10.45 MMBtu/MWh_e and 3.4095 MMBtu/MWh_th, i.e. 1/(10.45/3.4095) = 0.3260." +nuclear,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. +nuclear,investment,8769.6136,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (8475+13925)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", offwind,FOM,2.1762,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Fixed O&M [EUR/MW_e/y, 2020]" offwind,VOM,0.02,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions offwind,investment,1415.0831,"EUR/kW_e, 2020","Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Nominal investment [MEUR/MW_e, 2020] grid connection costs substracted from investment costs" @@ -862,7 +862,7 @@ seawater desalination,electricity-input,3.0348,kWh/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: seawater desalination,investment,26297.4359,EUR/(m^3-H2O/h),"Caldera et al 2017: Learning Curve for Seawater Reverse Osmosis Desalination Plants: Capital Cost Trend of the Past, Present, and Future (https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021402), Table 4.", seawater desalination,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", shipping fuel methanol,CO2 intensity,0.2482,tCO2/MWh_th,-,Based on stochiometric composition. -shipping fuel methanol,fuel,72.0,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). +shipping fuel methanol,fuel,65.2126,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). solar,FOM,2.04,%/year,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' solar,VOM,0.01,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions solar,investment,407.8706,EUR/kW_e,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' @@ -899,7 +899,7 @@ solid biomass to hydrogen,FOM,4.25,%/year,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NO solid biomass to hydrogen,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006, solid biomass to hydrogen,efficiency,0.56,per unit,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", solid biomass to hydrogen,investment,3000.0,EUR/kW_th,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", -uranium,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +uranium,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. waste CHP,FOM,2.3255,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Fixed O&M" waste CHP,VOM,26.0289,EUR/MWh_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Variable O&M " waste CHP,c_b,0.2976,50°C/100°C,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Cb coefficient" diff --git a/outputs/costs_2045.csv b/outputs/costs_2045.csv index b6cb10e..85fc3df 100644 --- a/outputs/costs_2045.csv +++ b/outputs/costs_2045.csv @@ -584,12 +584,12 @@ clean water tank storage,FOM,2.0,%/year,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawa clean water tank storage,investment,67.626,EUR/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", clean water tank storage,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", coal,CO2 intensity,0.3361,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -coal,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,fuel,8.15,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, -coal,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +coal,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100." +coal,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up." +coal,fuel,9.2743,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 99 USD/t." +coal,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", csp-tower,FOM,1.35,%/year,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),Ratio between CAPEX and FOM from ATB database for “moderate” scenario. csp-tower,investment,90.2787,"EUR/kW_th,dp",ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power) and NREL SAM v2021.12.2 (https://sam.nrel.gov/).,"Based on NREL’s SAM (v2021.12.2) numbers for a CSP power plant, 2020 numbers. CAPEX degression (=learning) taken from ATB database (“moderate”) scenario. Costs include solar field and solar tower as well as EPC cost for the default installation size (104 MWe plant). Total costs (223,708,924 USD) are divided by active area (heliostat reflective area, 1,269,054 m2) and multiplied by design point DNI (0.95 kW/m2) to obtain EUR/kW_th. Exchange rate: 1.16 USD to 1 EUR." csp-tower,lifetime,30.0,years,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),- @@ -722,7 +722,7 @@ fuel cell,efficiency,0.5,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_ fuel cell,investment,875.0,EUR/kW_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Nominal investment fuel cell,lifetime,10.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Technical lifetime gas,CO2 intensity,0.198,tCO2/MWh_th,Stoichiometric calculation with 50 GJ/t CH4, -gas,fuel,20.1,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, +gas,fuel,23.8481,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. gas boiler steam,FOM,3.85,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Fixed O&M gas boiler steam,VOM,1.0,EUR/MWh,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Variable O&M gas boiler steam,efficiency,0.935,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx","311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Total efficiency, net, annual average" @@ -780,12 +780,12 @@ industrial heat pump medium temperature,investment,715.0,EUR/kW,"Danish Energy A industrial heat pump medium temperature,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",302.a High temp. hp Up to 125 C: Technical lifetime iron ore DRI-ready,commodity,97.73,EUR/t,"Model assumptions from MPP Steel Transition Tool: https://missionpossiblepartnership.org/action-sectors/steel/, accessed: 2022-12-03.","DRI ready assumes 65% iron content, requiring no additional benefication." lignite,CO2 intensity,0.4069,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -lignite,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,fuel,2.9,EUR/MWh_th,DIW, -lignite,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +lignite,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,fuel,3.2018,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t." +lignite,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf ." +lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.2.3.1", methanation,carbondioxide-input,0.198,t_CO2/MWh_CH4,"Götz et al. (2016): Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066), Fig. 11 .",Additional H2 required for methanation process (2x H2 amount compared to stochiometric conversion). methanation,efficiency,0.8,per unit,Palzer and Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions @@ -819,12 +819,12 @@ micro CHP,efficiency,0.351,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_hea micro CHP,efficiency-heat,0.609,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Heat efficiency, annual average, net" micro CHP,investment,6175.2287,EUR/kW_th,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Specific investment micro CHP,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Technical lifetime -nuclear,FOM,1.4,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,investment,7940.4514,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +nuclear,FOM,1.27,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (131.5+152.75)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) relative to investment costs." +nuclear,VOM,3.6188,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (4.25+5)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,efficiency,0.326,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on heat rate of 10.45 MMBtu/MWh_e and 3.4095 MMBtu/MWh_th, i.e. 1/(10.45/3.4095) = 0.3260." +nuclear,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. +nuclear,investment,8769.6136,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (8475+13925)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", offwind,FOM,2.1709,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Fixed O&M [EUR/MW_e/y, 2020]" offwind,VOM,0.02,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions offwind,investment,1397.6772,"EUR/kW_e, 2020","Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Nominal investment [MEUR/MW_e, 2020] grid connection costs substracted from investment costs" @@ -862,7 +862,7 @@ seawater desalination,electricity-input,3.0348,kWh/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: seawater desalination,investment,23661.5385,EUR/(m^3-H2O/h),"Caldera et al 2017: Learning Curve for Seawater Reverse Osmosis Desalination Plants: Capital Cost Trend of the Past, Present, and Future (https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021402), Table 4.", seawater desalination,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", shipping fuel methanol,CO2 intensity,0.2482,tCO2/MWh_th,-,Based on stochiometric composition. -shipping fuel methanol,fuel,72.0,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). +shipping fuel methanol,fuel,65.2126,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). solar,FOM,2.0531,%/year,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' solar,VOM,0.01,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions solar,investment,389.0293,EUR/kW_e,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' @@ -899,7 +899,7 @@ solid biomass to hydrogen,FOM,4.25,%/year,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NO solid biomass to hydrogen,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006, solid biomass to hydrogen,efficiency,0.56,per unit,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", solid biomass to hydrogen,investment,2750.0,EUR/kW_th,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", -uranium,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +uranium,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. waste CHP,FOM,2.3092,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Fixed O&M" waste CHP,VOM,25.7834,EUR/MWh_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Variable O&M " waste CHP,c_b,0.3005,50°C/100°C,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Cb coefficient" diff --git a/outputs/costs_2050.csv b/outputs/costs_2050.csv index f0f2d00..25f2f5a 100644 --- a/outputs/costs_2050.csv +++ b/outputs/costs_2050.csv @@ -584,12 +584,12 @@ clean water tank storage,FOM,2.0,%/year,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawa clean water tank storage,investment,67.626,EUR/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", clean water tank storage,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", coal,CO2 intensity,0.3361,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -coal,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,fuel,8.15,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, -coal,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -coal,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +coal,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100." +coal,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up." +coal,fuel,9.2743,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 99 USD/t." +coal,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR)." +coal,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", csp-tower,FOM,1.4,%/year,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),Ratio between CAPEX and FOM from ATB database for “moderate” scenario. csp-tower,investment,90.0115,"EUR/kW_th,dp",ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power) and NREL SAM v2021.12.2 (https://sam.nrel.gov/).,"Based on NREL’s SAM (v2021.12.2) numbers for a CSP power plant, 2020 numbers. CAPEX degression (=learning) taken from ATB database (“moderate”) scenario. Costs include solar field and solar tower as well as EPC cost for the default installation size (104 MWe plant). Total costs (223,708,924 USD) are divided by active area (heliostat reflective area, 1,269,054 m2) and multiplied by design point DNI (0.95 kW/m2) to obtain EUR/kW_th. Exchange rate: 1.16 USD to 1 EUR." csp-tower,lifetime,30.0,years,ATB CSP data (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2021/concentrating_solar_power),- @@ -722,7 +722,7 @@ fuel cell,efficiency,0.5,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_ fuel cell,investment,800.0,EUR/kW_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Nominal investment fuel cell,lifetime,10.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP: Technical lifetime gas,CO2 intensity,0.198,tCO2/MWh_th,Stoichiometric calculation with 50 GJ/t CH4, -gas,fuel,20.1,EUR/MWh_th,BP 2019, +gas,fuel,23.8481,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. gas boiler steam,FOM,3.74,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Fixed O&M gas boiler steam,VOM,1.0,EUR/MWh,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Variable O&M gas boiler steam,efficiency,0.94,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx","311.1c Steam boiler Gas: Total efficiency, net, annual average" @@ -780,12 +780,12 @@ industrial heat pump medium temperature,investment,700.0,EUR/kW,"Danish Energy A industrial heat pump medium temperature,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_industrial_process_heat.xlsx",302.a High temp. hp Up to 125 C: Technical lifetime iron ore DRI-ready,commodity,97.73,EUR/t,"Model assumptions from MPP Steel Transition Tool: https://missionpossiblepartnership.org/action-sectors/steel/, accessed: 2022-12-03.","DRI ready assumes 65% iron content, requiring no additional benefication." lignite,CO2 intensity,0.4069,tCO2/MWh_th,Entwicklung der spezifischen Kohlendioxid-Emissionen des deutschen Strommix in den Jahren 1990 - 2018, -lignite,FOM,1.6,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,fuel,2.9,EUR/MWh_th,DIW, -lignite,investment,3845.5066,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +lignite,FOM,1.31,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (39.5+91.25) USD/kW_e/a /2 / (1.09 USD/EUR) / investment cost * 100. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,VOM,3.3278,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3+5.5)USD/MWh_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. 1 / ((8.75+12) MMbtu/MWh_th /2 / (3.4095 MMbtu/MWh_th)), rounded up. Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " +lignite,fuel,3.2018,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t." +lignite,investment,3905.3074,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf ." +lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . " methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.2.3.1", methanation,carbondioxide-input,0.198,t_CO2/MWh_CH4,"Götz et al. (2016): Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066), Fig. 11 .",Additional H2 required for methanation process (2x H2 amount compared to stochiometric conversion). methanation,efficiency,0.8,per unit,Palzer and Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions @@ -819,12 +819,12 @@ micro CHP,efficiency,0.351,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_hea micro CHP,efficiency-heat,0.609,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Heat efficiency, annual average, net" micro CHP,investment,5763.5468,EUR/kW_th,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Specific investment micro CHP,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas: Technical lifetime -nuclear,FOM,1.4,%/year,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,VOM,3.5,EUR/MWh_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,efficiency,0.33,per unit,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,investment,7940.4514,EUR/kW_e,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, -nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +nuclear,FOM,1.27,%/year,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (131.5+152.75)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) relative to investment costs." +nuclear,VOM,3.6188,EUR/MWh_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (4.25+5)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,efficiency,0.326,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on heat rate of 10.45 MMBtu/MWh_e and 3.4095 MMBtu/MWh_th, i.e. 1/(10.45/3.4095) = 0.3260." +nuclear,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. +nuclear,investment,8769.6136,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","U.S. specific costs including newly commissioned Vogtle plant, average of range and currency converted, i.e. (8475+13925)/2 USD/kW_e / (1.09 USD/EUR) ." +nuclear,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.", offwind,FOM,2.1655,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Fixed O&M [EUR/MW_e/y, 2020]" offwind,VOM,0.02,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions offwind,investment,1380.2714,"EUR/kW_e, 2020","Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","21 Offshore turbines: Nominal investment [MEUR/MW_e, 2020] grid connection costs substracted from investment costs" @@ -862,7 +862,7 @@ seawater desalination,electricity-input,3.0348,kWh/m^3-H2O,"Caldera et al 2016: seawater desalination,investment,21025.641,EUR/(m^3-H2O/h),"Caldera et al 2017: Learning Curve for Seawater Reverse Osmosis Desalination Plants: Capital Cost Trend of the Past, Present, and Future (https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021402), Table 4.", seawater desalination,lifetime,30.0,years,"Caldera et al 2016: Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and windenergy: A global estimate. (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2016.02.004), Table 1.", shipping fuel methanol,CO2 intensity,0.2482,tCO2/MWh_th,-,Based on stochiometric composition. -shipping fuel methanol,fuel,72.0,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). +shipping fuel methanol,fuel,65.2126,EUR/MWh_th,"Based on (source 1) Hampp et al (2022), https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01092, and (source 2): https://www.methanol.org/methanol-price-supply-demand/; both accessed: 2022-12-03.",400 EUR/t assuming range roughly in the long-term range for green methanol (source 1) and late 2020+beyond values for grey methanol (source 2). solar,FOM,2.0676,%/year,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' solar,VOM,0.01,EUR/MWhel,RES costs made up to fix curtailment order, from old pypsa cost assumptions solar,investment,370.188,EUR/kW_e,Calculated. See 'further description'.,Mixed investment costs based on average of 50% 'solar-rooftop' and 50% 'solar-utility' @@ -899,7 +899,7 @@ solid biomass to hydrogen,FOM,4.25,%/year,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NO solid biomass to hydrogen,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006, solid biomass to hydrogen,efficiency,0.56,per unit,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", solid biomass to hydrogen,investment,2500.0,EUR/kW_th,"Zech et.al. DBFZ Report Nr. 19. Hy-NOW - Evaluierung der Verfahren und Technologien für die Bereitstellung von Wasserstoff auf Basis von Biomasse, DBFZ, 2014", -uranium,fuel,2.6,EUR/MWh_th,Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0, +uranium,fuel,3.3122,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.",Based on IEA 2011 data. waste CHP,FOM,2.2917,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Fixed O&M" waste CHP,VOM,25.5378,EUR/MWh_e,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Variable O&M " waste CHP,c_b,0.3034,50°C/100°C,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx","08 WtE CHP, Large, 50 degree: Cb coefficient" diff --git a/scripts/compile_cost_assumptions.py b/scripts/compile_cost_assumptions.py index 6c6b2f7..d491915 100644 --- a/scripts/compile_cost_assumptions.py +++ b/scripts/compile_cost_assumptions.py @@ -35,8 +35,6 @@ 'Vartiaien': 'Impact of weighted average cost of capital, capital expenditure, and other parameters on future utility‐scale PV levelised cost of electricity', # solar rooftop 'ETIP': 'European PV Technology and Innovation Platform', - # nuclear, coal, lignite - 'Lazards': 'Lazard s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis - Version 13.0', # fuel cost 'zappa': 'Is a 100% renewable European power system feasible by 2050?', # co2 intensity @@ -509,96 +507,6 @@ def add_desalinsation_data(costs): return costs -def add_conventional_data(costs): - """" - add technology data for conventional carriers from Lazards, DIW and BP - """ - # nuclear from Lazards - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'investment'), 'value'] = 8595 / \ - (1 + snakemake.config['rate_inflation'])**(2019 - snakemake.config['eur_year']) - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'investment'), 'unit'] = "EUR/kW_e" - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'investment'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'FOM'), 'value'] = 1.4 - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'FOM'), 'unit'] = "%/year" - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'FOM'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'VOM'), 'value'] = 3.5 - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'VOM'), 'unit'] = "EUR/MWh_e" - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'VOM'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'efficiency'), 'value'] = 0.33 - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'efficiency'), 'unit'] = "per unit" - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'efficiency'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'fuel'), 'value'] = 2.6 - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'fuel'), 'unit'] = 'EUR/MWh_th' - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'fuel'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - costs.loc[('uranium', 'fuel'), 'value'] = 2.6 - costs.loc[('uranium', 'fuel'), 'unit'] = 'EUR/MWh_th' - costs.loc[('uranium', 'fuel'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'lifetime'), 'value'] = 40 - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'lifetime'), 'unit'] = "years" - costs.loc[('nuclear', 'lifetime'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - # coal from Lazards and BP 2019 - costs.loc[('coal', 'investment'), 'value'] = 4162.5 / \ - (1 + snakemake.config['rate_inflation'])**(2019 - snakemake.config['eur_year']) - costs.loc[('coal', 'investment'), 'unit'] = "EUR/kW_e" - costs.loc[('coal', 'investment'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('coal', 'FOM'), 'value'] = 1.6 - costs.loc[('coal', 'FOM'), 'unit'] = "%/year" - costs.loc[('coal', 'FOM'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('coal', 'VOM'), 'value'] = 3.5 - costs.loc[('coal', 'VOM'), 'unit'] = "EUR/MWh_e" - costs.loc[('coal', 'VOM'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('coal', 'efficiency'), 'value'] = 0.33 - costs.loc[('coal', 'efficiency'), 'unit'] = "per unit" - costs.loc[('coal', 'efficiency'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('coal', 'fuel'), 'value'] = 8.15 - costs.loc[('coal', 'fuel'), 'unit'] = 'EUR/MWh_th' - costs.loc[('coal', 'fuel'), 'source'] = 'BP 2019' - costs.loc[('gas', 'fuel'), 'value'] = 20.1 - costs.loc[('gas', 'fuel'), 'unit'] = 'EUR/MWh_th' - costs.loc[('gas', 'fuel'), 'source'] = 'BP 2019' - - costs.loc[('coal', 'lifetime'), 'value'] = 40 - costs.loc[('coal', 'lifetime'), 'unit'] = "years" - costs.loc[('coal', 'lifetime'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - # lignite from Lazards and DIW - costs.loc[('lignite', 'investment'), 'value'] = 4162.5 / \ - (1 + snakemake.config['rate_inflation'])**(2019 - snakemake.config['eur_year']) - costs.loc[('lignite', 'investment'), 'unit'] = "EUR/kW_e" - costs.loc[('lignite', 'investment'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('lignite', 'FOM'), 'value'] = 1.6 - costs.loc[('lignite', 'FOM'), 'unit'] = "%/year" - costs.loc[('lignite', 'FOM'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('lignite', 'VOM'), 'value'] = 3.5 - costs.loc[('lignite', 'VOM'), 'unit'] = "EUR/MWh_e" - costs.loc[('lignite', 'VOM'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('lignite', 'efficiency'), 'value'] = 0.33 - costs.loc[('lignite', 'efficiency'), 'unit'] = 'per unit' - costs.loc[('lignite', 'efficiency'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - costs.loc[('lignite', 'fuel'), 'value'] = 2.9 - costs.loc[('lignite', 'fuel'), 'unit'] = 'EUR/MWh_th' - costs.loc[('lignite', 'fuel'), 'source'] = 'DIW' - - costs.loc[('lignite', 'lifetime'), 'value'] = 40 - costs.loc[('lignite', 'lifetime'), 'unit'] = "years" - costs.loc[('lignite', 'lifetime'), 'source'] = source_dict['Lazards'] - - return costs - def add_co2_intensity(costs): """" @@ -1351,7 +1259,7 @@ def add_manual_input(data): df = df.rename(columns={"further_description": "further description"}) # Inflation adjustment for investment and VOM - mask = df[df['parameter'].isin(['investment','VOM'])].index + mask = df[df['parameter'].isin(['investment','VOM','fuel'])].index df.loc[mask, 'value'] /= (1+snakemake.config['rate_inflation'])**(df.loc[mask, 'currency_year'].astype(int)-snakemake.config['eur_year']) l = [] @@ -2262,8 +2170,6 @@ def geometric_series(nominator, denominator=1, number_of_terms=1, start=1): if snakemake.config["energy_storage_database"].get("h2_from_budischak", True): costs = add_h2_from_other(costs) - # add data from conventional carriers - costs = add_conventional_data(costs) # CO2 intensity costs = add_co2_intensity(costs)